Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 7.939308 8.942665 9.985752 11.147941 12.403489 13.715918 15.188394
2024-10-27 6.023467 7.390397 8.894799 10.660387 12.662637 14.850075 17.407562
2024-11-03 5.201189 6.790513 8.612034 10.827321 13.421631 16.337432 19.835460
2024-11-10 4.596882 6.337514 8.403403 10.992047 14.104347 17.682598 22.062999
2024-11-17 3.975327 5.781475 7.998726 10.856300 14.376187 18.506945 23.655482
2024-11-24 3.539458 5.405999 7.768315 10.889360 14.815211 19.503518 25.435802
2024-12-01 3.141538 5.036075 7.506065 10.847479 15.133808 20.335686 27.008896
2024-12-08 2.812054 4.724047 7.288450 10.835202 15.467799 21.172641 28.581872
2024-12-15 2.738241 4.759898 7.527339 11.415389 16.558240 22.955712 31.334978
2024-12-22 2.478355 4.502052 7.345333 11.419238 16.892739 23.786307 32.908525
2024-12-29 2.413082 4.525497 7.549263 11.942254 17.909045 25.488349 35.588789
2025-01-05 2.294689 4.456183 7.613292 12.268478 18.664614 26.862460 37.867621
2025-01-12 2.017596 4.118964 7.277247 12.031278 18.667489 27.277550 38.951285
2025-01-19 1.699778 3.684068 6.768443 11.523032 18.280415 27.168624 39.353035
2025-01-26 1.583307 3.574667 6.740869 11.698866 18.828296 28.289012 41.349936
2025-02-02 1.477029 3.472422 6.716099 11.872974 19.371687 29.405962 43.350861
2025-02-09 1.312839 3.249452 6.486311 11.729537 19.458474 29.905945 44.541259
2025-02-16 1.200327 3.110035 6.380591 11.764472 19.793378 30.739336 46.175743
2025-02-23 1.083473 2.949511 6.229242 11.720216 20.007930 31.406303 47.590860
2025-03-02 0.982955 2.809973 6.103345 11.707243 20.262467 32.126313 49.079740
2025-03-09 0.993497 2.899511 6.371861 12.320099 21.443709 34.138533 52.326668
2025-03-16 0.906314 2.774340 6.260715 12.324163 21.722747 34.898951 53.886110
2025-03-23 0.908074 2.841219 6.488910 12.876213 22.823267 36.814988 57.028818